Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.794648 3.336375 3.925994 4.611859 5.384110 6.223157 7.200032
2026-01-11 2.127323 2.858951 3.723433 4.805552 6.108577 7.611860 9.461322
2026-01-18 1.578772 2.388383 3.424351 4.812002 6.585045 8.737550 11.508370
2026-01-25 1.126343 1.930903 3.047895 4.646321 6.805375 9.550193 13.226766
2026-02-01 0.814885 1.587741 2.751003 4.522978 7.040519 10.373795 14.993601
2026-02-08 0.592407 1.317524 2.500634 4.413599 7.260913 11.170410 16.753051
2026-02-15 0.439290 1.117089 2.313756 4.359730 7.536061 12.039519 18.638559
2026-02-22 0.363650 1.036343 2.303593 4.568132 8.199617 13.474357 21.352930
2026-03-01 0.278488 0.907619 2.183670 4.577360 8.551510 14.472408 23.493151
2026-03-08 0.187496 0.728164 1.931091 4.323079 8.458454 14.800843 24.681582
2026-03-15 0.127725 0.596299 1.739813 4.143860 8.458863 15.253043 26.050346
2026-03-22 0.107981 0.569461 1.763704 4.361434 9.129737 16.754629 29.013042
2026-03-29 0.095524 0.562494 1.834645 4.683536 10.012192 18.643235 32.652076
2026-04-05 0.081871 0.544780 1.877330 4.953806 10.820909 20.449467 36.229015
2026-04-12 0.061799 0.489339 1.816231 5.005943 11.244682 21.657273 38.933352
2026-04-19 0.040661 0.409330 1.671212 4.862302 11.300089 22.265986 40.730156
2026-04-26 0.026404 0.345178 1.550033 4.750799 11.400675 22.945348 42.650496
2026-05-03 0.016606 0.291002 1.440306 4.646923 11.501891 23.621261 44.575905
2026-05-10 0.010500 0.250303 1.359142 4.596720 11.699303 24.462450 46.783741
2026-05-17 0.008461 0.242826 1.388381 4.817173 12.444455 26.269503 50.594184
2026-05-24 0.005414 0.215081 1.336790 4.828990 12.767831 27.351668 53.250836
2026-05-31 0.002293 0.166911 1.187161 4.565483 12.504970 27.387975 54.188320
2026-06-07 0.000891 0.132560 1.074711 4.379478 12.384568 27.664900 55.521947